پژوهش‌های زعفران

پژوهش‌های زعفران

تحلیل مقایسه‌ای آسیب‌پذیری زعفران‌کاران خرده‌‏مالک و بزرگ‌مالک در برابر ریسک‌های تولید و بازار در مناطق منتخب شهرستان‌های تربت‌حیدریه و زاوه

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان
1 1- گروه اقتصاد کشاورزی، دانشکده کشاورزی، دانشگاه تربت حیدریه، ایران و پژوهشکده زعفران، دانشگاه تربت‌حیدریه، ایران
2 گروه علوم و مهندسی آب، دانشکده کشاورزی، دانشگاه تهران، ایران.
چکیده
هدف مطالعه حاضر مقایسه آسیب‌پذیری زعفران‌کاران خرده‌مالک و بزرگ‌مالک در برابر ریسک‌های تولید و بازار، از دو جنبه ادراکی و عینی (عملکرد اقتصادی) است. برای این منظور داده‌ها به روش نمونه‌گیری در دسترس از ۱۰۸ زعفران‌کار در هفت منطقه از شهرستان‌های تربت‌حیدریه و زاوه در سال زراعی ۱۴۰۲-۱۴۰۳ گردآوری شد. ادراک آسیب‌پذیری با ۲۴ گویه چالش با مقیاس هفت‌درجه‌ای لیکرت و عملکرد اقتصادی با سود و درآمد کل مزرعه سنجیده شد و داده‌ها با مدل‌های پاسخ ترتیبی، حداقل مربعات عادی با خطاهای استاندارد مقاوم، رگرسیون چندک و آزمون‌های ناپارامتری تحلیل گردید. نتایج نشان داد اندازه مزرعه با عملکرد اقتصادی رابطه مثبت و معنادار دارد؛ مزارع بزرگ به‌طور متوسط ۱۶۶ میلیون ریال سود بیشتری نسبت به خرده‌مالکان کسب می‌کنند و این مزیت در سطوح بالاتر توزیع سود بهبود می‌یابد. در مقابل، در بیشتر چالش‌ها تفاوت آماری قابل‌تشخیصی میان گروه‌های اندازه مزرعه مشاهده نشد و تنها آسیب به اعتبار در بازارهای خارجی برای خرده‌مالکان شدیدتر بود. یافته‌ها نشان داد بزرگ‌تر بودن مزرعه اگرچه با بهبود عملکرد اقتصادی همراه است، اما کاهش محسوس آسیب‌پذیری ادراکی را به دنبال ندارد؛ ازاین‌رو، سیاست‌های کاهش آسیب‌پذیری باید در کنار توجه به نیازهای متفاوت گروه‌ها، بر مدیریت ریسک فراگیر بخش زعفران متمرکز گردد.
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